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Search Results 0 to 49 of about 92 (some duplicates have been removed)
in the past. our poll even has the president up two in florida. so the obama team certainly optimistic and down the stretch they come to keep that sports metaphor going. >> love it. thank you. >> as for the challenger mitt romney needs to rally his troops and out gun the president's skilled operation. peter zand certificate on a plane right now with the romney campaign. he called this report for us right before takeoff. >> reporter: two stops down, three more to go today as part of the 72 hour final sprint for mitt romney here in dubuque, iowa there's been a unique opportunity on the campaign plane as we prepare to board for colorado. several of the governor's top advisers are traveling with the campaign today. of course predictions about what will happen on tuesday. there's a sense they are soaking in these final hours of a campaign that many of them have been working on during the course of the last five years. the governor here again offering bipartisan themes. he has tried to draw attention to the president's comments from yesterday in ohio we said not to boo but encouraged voters
us a look at early voting. polls showing governor romney leading president obama 52% to 45% among voter who's already cast their ballots. newt gingrich joins us, good evening, sir. your thoughts on the gallup poll of early voters? >> if it's accurate it's devastating for obama. obama played a tremendous amount of effort into building a ground game. they're confident they can turn the vote out early. they talked about it with a sense of achievement. if this is correct, it's a remarkable result. republicans have been saying during all of the snap shots well, don't worry about early voting because republican voters tend to be older, they love to vote on election day. all of a sudden these numbers i'm surprised and i frankly thought i would not have been surprised to see it reversed and see it obama, 52, romney, 45. so this is a shocking number. but it fits something that you may have seen late last week. gallup took all of this september questions, 19,000 people pretty big universe. looking at all of them together as one group. and said the surprise is that this electorate looks more
. if that is accurate, then virtually every poll we've seen is wrong, probably favors obama by three or four points more than he's going to get. all polls, poll sisters went in. they jiggered numbers to get back to a sample they believed was accurate. gallup arguing that that is wrong. that we're seeing a shift towards an electorate much more republican than four years ago. >> i think of gallup sort of a little bit, i don't know stojy. there is no sparkle. they don't take risks. i tend to rely on gap yul because they've been around forever. this is a big number. 52-45. coo they just have gotten this wrong? >> this conforms to what they claim they're seeing. they came out and said they thought romney was up six points. i have adopted and you've heard me talk to this before, james carvel rule. he told me his standard was if you're the incumbent you've been in people's living rooms four years. they know who you are. you get the last poll. and the last poll for obama is between 44 and 47 or 48%. so this would imply you're seeing carvel rule coming into affect. i decided last week that i said it's probably g
obama and romney very, very close to tied and the state swing state polls, which have, except for north carolina and florida, basically have the two candidates either tied, but obama having a one, two or more point lead, as many as five in some state polls, lead over romney. why the discrepancy between the national survey and the state polls? >> the discrepancy is caused by the tremendous number of negative ads that the obama campaign ran against mitt romney over the course of the last six months. a rising tide lifts all boats, but it doesn't lift them quite as far in the battle ground states as it does elsewhere because of all the negative ads that the obama campaign has run. nevertheless, a lot of those states are incredibly close, there are eight states right now that are within less than 3 points. so, who knows which way those are going to go on tuesday. >> paul: there's another a factor here which is interesting in the polling, which is in these head to head surveys in the swing states, president obama typically can't get above 47, 48%, even if he's leading romney by a couple of po
, but the state polls continue to show obama with a, some advantages in the electoral votes, so, i think both sides are looking at the polls and seeing hope. >> dan, let's step back briefly here, how important is this election? we always say the elections are the most important in x years, but i think this is the most important election since ronald reagan certainly in terms of setting the direction of the country and validating or not the huge expansion of government that barack obama has promoted in the first term. >> i agree, paul. i mean, historically the country is divided in the past century between the private economy and the public government. and there's always been a division of duties there. barack obama is trying to take spending from 20% of grosse pointe woods over the last 25 years up to about 23%. >> paul: for the starters. >> for starters and plus, make the federal government the lead role in the direction of the economy in a way that no previous president has ever done and i think that that is the decision the american people have to decide is whether they want washington, th
at the poll that came out, president obama has a lead in the five-county areas. he has maintained that leads throughout in all of the various polls. i think the extreme positions of mitt romney, a woman's right to choose, number one, really puts him at odds with the moderates and stability in pennsylvania, and i am confident that the numbers the president will show in the suburbs will propel him to victory in pennsylvania. host: as you know, pennsylvania was referred to as philadelphia and alabama in the middle. there was this that said to make it close, mitt romney has to win big. what does he mean by that? guest: he has to win big in the central part of the state. we call it the t. there are two republican counties. it spreads across. he is going to do really well there. mitt romney is doing terrific in the t. i cannot believe our results down there. if you remember, in the primary, hillary clinton beat president obama. those people are very upset about the war on coal and the president dissing the coal business. i do not agree with josh. we are doing very well in the philadelphia suburbs.
but the polls show president obama with a five-point lead. some had it smaller. >> quickly, they say the economy is improving and according to the polls most give president obama a credit for. >> we're actually seeing that people voting for president obama supporting him in polls optimistic and bullish on the state of the economy. if you're a romney voter or you're leaning towards romney in the polls probably have the opposite view. that's where we're going to see in the exit polls come november 6th. >> all right. thank you very much. we appreciate it. taking the audience to breaking news. new video, president obama walking off the helicopter after the aerial tour of new jersey with governor chris christie right there who's certainly been praising the president's response to the storm. we'll hear from the two of them likely within the hour. or very soon. about to take a ground tour. imagine they're talking with people who lost everything or much of what they have. so we'll bring it to you. another image of the day likely the image so many will be talking about and maybe leading up to the electio
at the individual polls in the yellow states which are the states that are undeclared. >> gregg: that's where obama has an edge? >> he has an edge in iowa, an edge in minnesota. he has an edge in wisconsin. most of all, ohio and wisconsin. that puts him over the -- >> i saw an iowa poll with romney ahead. i saw one where he had florida. >> i think florida will go to romney. north carolina and virginia. 15 or 20 polls in those swing states in the midwest -- >> i'm not sure i believe that. >> breaking 85, 90% obama. >> i'm not sure i buy that at this point. i think polling is so difficult right now. the people's response rates. i'm just saying -- by the way, some pollsters, we will have an execution on wednesday for somebody. >> i hope it's not me. >> i hope not either for your sake. >> gregg: last jobs report came out on friday and unemployment number ticked up from 7.8 to 7.9. does that make a difference? >> probably not. i think it was enough so that obama can keep talking. let me say about the hurricane and the jobs report. the hurricane forced obama during the last week to do what the three of u
not great. more people disapprove than approve. that is a weakness for president obama. the position poll the race is even. what it tells me is that romney who had momentum for several weeks his momentum has stopped. the independent voter was romney-ryan had a slightly bigger lead than they do now. the number of people unsure from 29% now down to 16%. most broke for president obam obama. >> bret: early october it was 44-32. you're saying that the obama number goes up. >> yes. >> bret: so does romney-ryan. >> by one. obama-biden went up by 7. romney-ryan went up by one. if you look to the other unsure, 25% in early october. now down to 16%. >> bret: put number two up if you can again. >> so things breaking there more for the incumbent than the challenger. overall, what charles is saying is right. generally things break for the channeler. the income intent a known quantity. but not that it completely breaks for the incumbent. so many battleground obama maintains small lead, but maintaining it. but the fear is that romney momentum would carry him to lead in those states. >> bret: steve? >> t
there have been seven polls. all of them have suggested that mr. obama is up within the margin of error by a couple of points on mitt romney. most scenarios, romney can't win without winning here in florida as well as without ohio. so, one of the schools of thought is that the romney camp is trying to hedge against a possible defeat in ohio by expanding the battlefield or trying to into those three blue states. the obama campaign isn't buying it. as we head into the final six days it's very clear it's going to go right down to the wire with anybody's guess in some of the battleground states in the quest for 270 electoral votes. national polls s. tied as is some of those battleground states even with the margin of error. shep? >> shepard: carl cammeron in jacksonville florida tonight. little relief for air travelers coming in and out of the nation's airspace after sandy. earlier today two of new york's airports reopened on a limited basis. jfk and newark liberty international across the river in jersey. port authority which runs all the airports is urging folks to call airlines for infor
by president obama where the polls have always trended towards democrats this year. not towards mr. romney and the g.o.p. pennsylvania, minnesota, and michigan. romney's home state. in the last few days, there have been a handful of polls that the gap has narrowed and romney made ground and come within the margin of error in those states and now he has begun to advertise. these are states the obama campaign is very very confident about. david action sell rod said he would shave his mustache off if he lost any of them. that's a staches has had for 40 years. tough hurdle for mr. romney to clear in ohio. in the last 48 hours or so there have been seven polls. all of them have suggested that mr. obama is up within the margin of error by a couple of points on mitt romney. most scenarios, romney can't win without winning here in florida as well as without ohio. so, one of the schools of thought is that the romney camp is trying to hedge against a possible defeat in ohio by expanding the battlefield or trying to into those three blue states. the obama campaign isn't buying it. as we head into the
polls in three states that were traditionally democrats leaning obama, and president obama won in 2008: pennsylvania, minnesota, and michigan. michigan, of course, is romney's native state and polls suggest obama has the lead but mitt romney has closed the gap to the margin of error. obama campaigns scoffs at this and senior obama advisor axelrod said if they lost any of those he would shave off his mustache of 40 years but mitt romney has considered headed there a sign they think the plafield is expanding beyond the seven states that have been hotly contested and present the romney campaign opportunity to put obama on defense and have the offense ease the path to 270. very, very close, six days left, polls suggest everything is tight and no way to know who has the edge. so, no time for napping, either. >>shepard: i was hoping you got a nap while everyone else was working. >>carl: not a chance. romney is staying busy. >>shepard: thank you, carl cameron. massive gridlock around new york city, 4.3 million people use the subways and there is no subway. commuters returned to work and many
? the reality of history of polls is most of the time with a candidate with a lead as clear as obama has in ohio or wisconsin or invest 23nevada, t candidate wins and this is a reality. often thinking that the polls are close they often still end up going the way they're leaning. remember in wisconsin earlier, democrats thought this is going to be a close race. the polls said walker would win by 7. he did. and with that history in mind, you know, i'm inclined to think that obama's the favorite. that doesn't mean romney can't win but speaks to probability i think. >> don't let toure say you don't have passion. i can feel your passion. i can feel it through the camera. is minnesota in play? i've been hearing silly rumors it could be in play this year for romney. that doesn't sound right. >> i have always thought that minnesota should be in play. it's an overwhelmingly white state. we know that obama's struggling with white voters. a state obama won by ten points last time and keep in mind that means it's closer than wisconsin, pennsylvania, closer than a whole bunch and closer than nevada, states
for the swing state, polls showing president obama with a razor-thing thin lead. but good news for governor romney. joining me is our panel. first, rick, the good news for the governor is with independents? >> independents. you look throughout the polls, dismacial state-level poll, governor romney is winning independent, sometimes by a lot. this is interesting for a couple of reasons, president obama won independents w ago. john kerry won among independents 8 years ago in the battleground states. so this is a big reversal. can the president lose independents that badly and still win? there is a good chance that the independents look different. a lot of them are probably republicans, calling themselves independents because they are disaffected with the party and they are tea partyers. but it is a major shift to see independents, people who call themselves independents not going for president obama. you ask the romney folks and they say, this is a sign of weakness. this says our guy is very much in the mix, despite the battlegrounds. >> greta: steve, which team would you rather be on? >> righ
polls, making news in battleground state, expanding the map into obama territory and he had to pull himself from the campaign trail and he is trying to find that argument. the momentum is gone, sapped. now, look, we have a jobs number tomorrow, the continuing questions in other quars and other ways to get back in this thing. but he lost 3 prime days, you were going to be working it and and hitting it at every stop. >> stand by, panel. extremely sensitive documents unorfed in the rubble of benghazi three weeksar after the benghazi three weeksar after the attack. if we want to improve our schools... ... what should we invest in? maybe new buildings? what about updated equipment? they can help, but recent research shows... ... nothing transforms schools like investing in advanced teacher education. let's build a strong foundation. let's invest in our teachers so they can inspire our students. let's solve this. de and ♪ ♪ you can help others along the way. ♪ ♪ a portion of every bottle that they sell goes to fight ♪ ♪ breast cancer and i think that's swell. ♪ ♪ the more
voted already. the polls are showing that obama is leading the early boat much like he did in 2008. that is an aberration from our part -- previous count. from previous elections before the 2008, typically, republicans won the early voting. we have had such a high volume now and the obama campaign is encouraging their supporters to vote early. we have seen a change in behavior when campaigns can take advantage of early voting to encourage their supporters and mobilize them over a longer period of time. that is was going on on the democrat side. if you look at the numbers, there are more republicans voting early ban in 2008. the romney campaign is not conceding the early vote as the mccain campaign did in 2008. we are seeing greater interest among republicans and we see level increases of democrats and republicans compared to 2008 in early voting. up to this point, when we look at the statistics, most of the people who have voted early so far were people who are very strong partisans and have registered with their local party. in ohio, we have data where we know that people have vot
swing state polls you see no lift at all in the obama camp pain, -- campaign. >> here's the argue. they make. he is still ahead in ohio and wisconsin, still ahead in what they call their fire wall. and even if you give romney all the swing states that they think they're going to win -- virginia, north carolina, florida -- that still only gets him to 248. throw the colorado, 257 electoral votes, needs 2 70 to win. >> couple things about the firewall. you have to question, is obama really ahead in ohio when everyone seems to acknowledge romney's big advantage among independents? this is true of a bunch of swing states. there's a question about who is really ahead. but the other issue is, this is a well-known incumbent late in the race. he is probably persuaded most of the people he is going persuade and his campaign speeches are telling you that. it's a fiercely partisan ideological message he is driving. he is not talking to independents. >> let's get a clip of that. we want to give you an illustration of what james just pointed out. >> not a five point plan by governor romney, one
ohio to go over. first of all with this overall poll from cnn/orc. it shows president obama still ahead by four points there in the buckeye state. what are the president's campaign advisers saying about that? is it too close for comfort or are they confident or -- >> sure. i think they're cautiously optimistic. they have done polls, have been poll testing in ohio, and i think that they feel good about where they are. but you know, he's going to be spending -- the president's going to be spending a lot of time in the next eight days there. he's going to be there with bill clinton on monday and i expect him to be back there relatively soon after that. i think he's going to basically be bunking there all week. >> yeah, good point. what about you, steve? the ohio poll showing the president is winning over about six in ten early voters. but he's losing the election day voters, 61% to 44% for mitt romney. so the romney campaign says the president's peaking too soon. do you have a read on the ground there, what's going on? >> well, i mean, the ground game is fascinating there. the president ha
to overcome this fire wall that seems to be pretty firm in president obama's favor? >> yes, if the polls are wrong. most of these polls are likely voter models. the polls are making the assumption with the turnout, what the shape of the electorate is going to be on election day. if that model is wrong, you have a major problem. you could have more republicans turning out and fewer democrats turning out. if the demographics are wrong, the same thing. this has been a very difficult -- i'm going to be honest, a very difficult election for me to get a handle on because you see this continuing schism between the national polls which show a tied race or a small, narrow romney lead in the key battlegrounds where you can show president obama ahead. it really comes down to a very simple fact. if democrats turn out, you know, at the percentages these voter models are assuming, president obama will win this election. if they don't, it's going to be a tough night. >> i want to show everybody this. chuck todd asked the obama campaign about the president's midwest fire wall this morning on "the daily
of polls, it may show romney plus 2, romney plus 5, romney plus 1. there are a lot of obama leaning polls as well, but even though i look at those polls, you're telling me that it sounds like obama has the edge and he's actually going to win the election? >> if you look structurally, he has an advantage right now. now, if those states happen to flip, and they have gotten closer, and there's a debate of course and charlie, i know, will have a lot to say about this, about what polls to believe in, are polls even trustworthy now, everybody seems to have their hone poll. i don't know that there are actually that many people in ohio. i immediately like maybe there are professional poll takers in ohio, and if so, that would be a great business if your want to get in that. sure, highly answer your poll, $5. there's so much data coming out of there that you almost don't know what to believe, so you sort of have to read what's happening from the campaigns and it's pretty clear that there is, again, when you talk about just a few of these states and we can go through them, where the obama edge, as
has to be high. i think it means that ohio is much, much, much more of an obama state than it looks like in the polls. >> if your numbers are right, one-third of the votes are done early and two-third go to obama, mitt romney needs 60% of the remaining votes to win. >> greg: i can't believe i'm doing madonna. a phrase many men said in 1980s. she was performing in new orleans. she said to the audience basically demanding that the audience vote for obama. and to her surprise, she got booed. so this is what she said. >> dana: and people left. >> greg: they left. but they were probably disgusted by the 75-year-old's music. she said seriously, i don't care who you vote for. do not take the privilege for granted. go vote. which is a lie. of course she cares who you vote for. if you told her you were voting for romney she would stab you in the eye with her pointy breast. >> bob: dana, follow that up? >> dana: i can, because one of the privileges of being at the white house is getting to know the rooms. one is the blue room. a lot of great amazing things have happened there. we have picture
: latest polls show the president obama's lead shrinking in that blue state. here -- good morning to you. >> morning. >> gretchen: what do you make of david axelrod. is the mouse statch on. >> if romney win in minnesota. i would like hoim to david axelrod to come and we'll shave it for him. >> gretchen: this is the 2008 presidential race. barack obama way ahead of john mccain. and it is my understanding that in the polls recently for this election that romney is inching closer to obama, is th correct? >> it is correct. it is in within the margin of error. >> what do you make of the surge? minnesota has been a blue state what do you make for romney? >> it is a conservative minnesota, gretchen. in 2010 minnesota won both studies of the legislatures, republicans did. we are seag a move to a conservative trend in minnesota. >> gretchen: the governor seat went to a democrat in a tight, tight election and senator al franken won with 312 vote,many of them disputed and michele bachmann is in a tight race or do it see it that way? >> i have known mitch mitch for 10 years and one of the most dedic
time, polls showed president obama carrying that state. well, that's changed now. now the state is considered to be a toss-up. so why the big swap? we continue now with our political panel. david, i'll start with you because i know you had a point on libya when we had to wrap up. so toss-up category, obviously both candidate also spend a lot of time in ohio. why is it so important? >> because that's the most direct path for mitt romney to win. and for obama to belie mitt romney a win, if he can take that state, he's in better shape. romney can win without winning ho o but not a whole lot of options. wisconsin becomes more key. here is the bottom line, i just finished a 9500-mile fiscal responsibility bus tour, including to ohio, virginia and all the swing states. election is going to be decide on who can do the best job on the economy, jobs, and putting our finances in order. that's what matters and we better start getting with it. >> gretchen: so sasha, one of the reasons why people say the president continues to do well in ohio is because the economy is doing better in ohio, b
's that president obama has kind of crept back up into a tie or a slight lead in some of the national polls. you know, i think we are where we have been with a very close race that's going to depend a lot on get-out-the-vote efforts and the ground game. and those swing states that we keep talking about, ohio, ohio, ohio. and now apparently florida's back in play. so, you know, we're on the edge of our seats. >> all right. eugene robinson, thank you once again. your column, of course, is online at washingtonpost.com. lawrence, can you stay with us? >> absolutely. >> that would be great. thank you. >>> when we come back, nbc news political director chuck todd and moderator of "meet the press," david gregory. you're watching "morning joe" brewed by starbucks. if we want to improve our schools... ... what should we invest in? maybe new buildings? what about updated equipment? they can help, but recent research shows... ... nothing transforms schools like investing in advanced teacher education. let's build a strong foundation. let's invest in our teachers so they can inspire our students. let's solv
in wisconsin where he's polling five points behind. >> candidate obama promised to do so very much. but he's fallen so very short. >> reporter: he said the president pledged unemployment down to 5% by now. >> today we learned that it's actually 7.9%. and that's 9 million jobs short of what he promised. unemployment is higher today than when barack obama took office. think of that. >> reporter: governor romney has two stops in ohio today. president obama three. and they'll both be back before tuesday. both candidates are campaigning as if any letup would mean they would lose ohio and lose the election. i'm steve handelsman, news 4. >>> early voting ends tonight in maryland. tomorrow in d.c. the big turnout has overwhelmed elections officials and caused long lines at some early voting sites. it's also the talk around town this week. here with some reaction from the station's listeners. malette, what is driving these long lines? we've got question 6, we've got question 7. and by the way, that presidential election, too, right? >> that little thing, right? yeah. all of the above. you know, peo
created. the unemployment rate has been steadily dropping. >> reporter: president obama still leads in ohio by just two points, but in five ohio polls. >> if you add the same result five times in ohio, which you do, you know he is going to carry ohio. >> reporter: but if romney takes ohio and florida, north carolina, virginia, he could win. but so could president obama, even if romney wins ohio and those other states. the tiebreaker would be colorado. whoever wins colorado in that one scenario wins the white house. and raj and jesse, in the latest about in news poll, colorado was tied. back to you. >> thank you very much, steve. >>> let's bring in our chief meteorologist jeff ranieri. and it's supposed to be beautiful. we're here. the weekend is here. >> i know, i know. this is good timing for a lot of us here as that doppler radar scans around, finding dry conditions across the greater northern california region. and one of the things that really helped to get all this sunshine in here, not only inland, but at the coast is this wind out of the north, and also slightly offshore abou
in the national polls. the wild card here, the change that took place in october -- the biggest statistic that jumps out is people started judging romney the winner on the economy. he's opened now a high lead over obama on the economy. if that overrides their concerns about his personality and character. then there's not much obama can do. but they had had luck with romney's personal negatives before that. so there's potential there. >> i wonder -- i was thinking about this with the appearances in ohio. looking at the economic numbers in ohio. it's been funny at the personality level to see john kasich talk about how much better things have gotten under his leadership. we'd really to prefer you say things are going badly. as the campaign shrinks down to a small number of swing states and they have that improving economic numbers problem as it were on the republican side in florida and ohio, does that change the type of argument they need to make about change? about why mitt romney is the guy who should be trusted to do things differently than barack obama? >> they are hitting it there. ba
to the polls and getting information about the candidates. obama's lead in the ground game is massive. obama has 800 field offices throughout the nation, romney only has 300. in ohio the difference is massive, 137-39. this continues throughout the states. you see ohio, florida, colorado. obama's lead is massive. obama built the largest grassroots organization that politics saw in '08 and after he won he continued to build it. this can make a difference of two points and in a close race like this it can make all the difference in '08. it gave obama some already. that's not the situation in this case. people that have been to the ground offices say the obama offices are all about obamament the romney offices are rnc offices and not always all about romney. that leads a conservative like joe scarborough to worry about what's happening that the obama offices are building this unparalleled turnout machine and the great irony that scarborough writes for the romney camp is their candidate drirch by data and numbers his entire life is relying on the most unpredi unpredictable force of all, human emo
strikes me in talking to the two campaigns is that the obama campaign has this incredibly, you know, poll data, scientific approach, and the romney folks seem to have a lot of excitement and enthusiasm which is what you would expect from a challenger but he seems to have really built that up in at least post-debate. and it was frozen in place during this hurricane and now we have to see whether there's enough time. now it is a turnout issue. >> they both have well defined constituencies. governor romney has even though a lot of conservatives are not entirely comfortable with him, people who are eager to fire president obama as the chief executive of the united states. i just heard a few moments ago from a source within the tea party who is saying, look, in the tea party we're much more effective and much more highly motivated in the get out the vote efforts we're making in ohio and virginia and other places than the paid get out the vote operatives of the democratic party. now whether that holds up or not i don't know, but i know that the tea party is highly motivated during this. i've re
'll have reactions from the campaigns. >>> new poll suggests a race for the white house remains neck and neck. the washington post tracking poll shows 49% of likely voters across the country port president obama while 48% say they are voting for his republican challenger mitt romney. >>> your time is 7:03. in overnight news a san francisco apartment fire could have been a lot worse according to neighbors. if one man would have not sumped into action. the fire started at 10:30 last night on balboa street in the richmond district. a man who lives in the building filmed this video. he talked to a neighbor who was fighting the flames with a fire extinguisher before the firefighters arrived. [ inaudible ] >> the firefighters are telling us at least one person has been displaced. the cause of the fire is still under investigation. >>> a man in san jose is very lucky to be alive this morning. thanks to his dog who helped save him from his burning house. fire broke out on ivy creek circle about 9:00 last night. crews say the dog kept barking. woke up the man who then took three of his dogs a
Search Results 0 to 49 of about 92 (some duplicates have been removed)